The Cincinnati Reds (11-14) are coming off a 12-1 beat down of the first place St. Louis Cardinals (15-10) at Busch Stadium last night. The Reds will try to keep it going this afternoon at 2:15 PM. The Reds pitching staff is now tied for the fewest runs allowed in baseball with the Tampa Rays with 80.

Programming note: today’s game is available on the MLB Network for those outside of the Cincinnati market. 

Starting Pitchers

Tyler Mahle has got hit pretty hard in his last two starts (18 H in 12.0 IP), but he has done a good job limiting the damage. Mahle has only walked 4 batters all year, and his 1.57 BB/9 ranks 5th best in the MLB behind Ryu, Felix Hernandez, Scherzer and Bumgarner (*min 20 IP). Mahle has a career 4.35 ERA in 2 starts against the Cardinals.

Dakota Hudson was the Cardinals first round draft pick from 2016. He has only made 35 career minor league starts. He was the Cardinals #3 prospect entering this season. Things haven’t gone great so far for Hudson. He is currently dead last in the MLB in fWAR at -0.7. He has also allowed 7 home runs in just 18.1 innings. Hudson’s velocity is down nearly 4 MPH from what we saw last year when he was used exclusively as a reliever. The Reds have only faced Hudson once, and it came last year in relief during a Reds win (2.0 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 0 K). However, new Reds’ Puig and Dietrich are a combined 3 for 3 off him.

Starting Lineups

Reds Cardinals
1. Joey Votto (1B)
2. Eugenio Suarez (3B)
3. Jesse Winker (LF)
4. Yasiel Puig (RF)
5. Derek Dietrich (2B)
6. Tucker Barnhart (C)
7. Scott Schebler (CF)
8. Tyler Mahle (P)
9. Jose Peraza (SS)
1. Matt Carpenter (3B)
2. Paul Goldschmidt (1B)
3. Paul DeJong (SS)
4. Marcell Ozuna (LF)
5. Jose Martinez (RF)
6. Yadier Molina (C)
7. Dexter Fowler (CF)
8. Kolten Wong (2B)
9. Dakota Hudson (P)

Senzel update

Nick Senzel is 3 for 12 with 2 walks through his first 3 games with the Bats. He was 1 for 4 yesterday.

Reds defense

There has been a lot of talk about how terrible the Reds defense has been, but the advanced stats surprisingly do not back that up. The Reds as a team have +11 defensive runs saved, which has them tied for 10th best in the MLB. The standouts are Jose Iglesias (+4) and Yasiel Puig (+3). The knocks are Jesse Winker (-3) and Matt Kemp (-2). Scott Schebler is remarkably is at 0, which the Reds have to feel good about.

Conclusion

The Reds are playing good baseball, winners in 10 of their last 16 games. The next four games for the Reds are against beatable starters, but then they’ll face Jacob DeGrom and Noah Syndergaard back-to-back in New York. Dakota Hudson has given a lot of bombs, and the Reds are coming off a five home run night yesterday. Let’s hope they can keep it rolling this afternoon. Go Reds!

17 Responses

  1. Mark Lang

    Any victory over the Cardinals feels better than 2 victories over any other team. I needed a cigarette after last nights game… and I don’t smoke.

  2. Jefferson Green

    Bell sets most lineups a full day (or two) in advance and shares them with the players so that they can prepare. Probably not related to last night.

  3. Roger Garrett

    Good at bat by Schebler.Walks are good.

  4. Roger Garrett

    Walks are better when the guys scores.Peraza comes through.

  5. Hanawi

    Mahle needs another pitch. I’m in favor of him going down to work on developing one.

  6. Big Ed

    Ted Barrett has a terrible strike zone.

  7. Jazzmanbbfan

    Peraza drove in the first run today so whatever the reason is, I’ll take it.

  8. MK

    Votto is one of the 5 worst defensive first basemen in the National League and I am having trouble thinking of the other four.

    • Phil Gasson

      Maybe he shouldn’t wear his gold glove on defense.

    • Jefferson Green

      You forget that most first basemen are poor fielders. They hit and teams find a place for their bat. If you sort Fangraphs fielding stats for first basement for the last three seasons, Votto is #1 in several categories (UZR, DRS) and top 5 in almost all. No, he often doesn’t look good, but many others look worse according to Fangraphs.

  9. Reddawg12

    Good grief. How many times does Zach Duke need to fail before he’s out of chances?

  10. Andy

    Human rally killer Zach duke

    He has to have blackmail files on David Bell

  11. Hanawi

    Continuing to run Duke out there is managerial malpractice at this point. I’m hoping he’s just trying to force the front office’s hand.

  12. Roger Garrett

    Duke was a head scratcher when he was signed and more scratching came when Reed was sent down not to start but to be a reliever.Not sure what the Reds saw when they signed him nor what they see now because he has nothing to get guys out with that Reed doesn’t have that’s better.Maybe it will turn around but I just don’t see it.Reality is Mahle’s velocity is very hittable.He set at 95 early last year and I don’t think he has shown that yet this year and he throws mostly fast balls so in time good hitters do catch up with it.Ozuna should never see a fastball strike.He will chase sliders down and away most of the time.He beat Disco in Mexico and he has done it again today.

  13. Kettering Reds Fan

    Memo to Chad:

    Possible post topic…….

    Zach Duke….WHY?

  14. TR

    Iglesias should be a regular. He’s not Barry Larkin at the bat, but he is a real smooth shortstop.