FanGraphs’ latest projections show the Cincinnati Reds as a .500 team and right in the middle of the NL Central race. Is it possible that the Reds could actually be a contender in 2019? Doug Gray and I discuss that possibility in this week’s episode of Redleg Nation Radio.

We also discussed Cincinnati’s roster and how it could still be improved, plus more Viewer Mail.

Follow us on Twitter: @redlegradio. Music for this episode provided by Freekbass, a big Reds fan and a friend of Redleg Nation.

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12 Responses

  1. David

    Winning baseball in 2019? Probable, but the games have to be played to see if the Reds finish over 0.500.

    Winning the division? Possible, but not probable. They don’t have enough pitching talent. But who knows how people will really produce once the season starts?

    Christian Yelich had a “career year” with the Brewers. He might have another very fine year with them, but is it likely to be better than 2018?
    Likely Kris Bryant will have a better year for the Cubs in 2019 than 2018, but what about the rest of their lineup? Not going bad, but will they sustain their performance? And will those old guys still be pitching well?
    I do sort of think that one of the Cardinals or Pirates will “fall off the table” in regards to performance. The Reds could slide into 4th or 3rd place in the division in 2019.

    • Roger Garrett

      We are 3rd at best but that’s good with me.We can sort through all of these guys on one year deals and try to keep the performers and go into next year with guys closer to the show and some money to spend.Its much better then just throwing warm bodies out there and hope they last past the 4th as we have done for what seems like forever.Its much better then hoping Billy turns the corner this year like we have the last 5 years.We added 3 starters that have had success in the league and may just improve this year.We have been so bad for so long and at least we look much better on paper compared in the past when we knew as did everybody else we would we awful.Sure our division is tough but it is what it is when you just flounder around pretending to be an MLB franchise and fall behind while others try and improve.

  2. David

    The Reds were lousy in 1989 because everybody got hurt except for Eric Davis. Paul O’Neill, Chris Sabo, Barry Larkin, Joe Oliver, etc. were all hurt and missed all or part of the year. Healthy in 1990, got off to a blazing start , and had the bullpen to close out games. Jose Rijo came back the second half of 1990, and was dynamite in the playoffs.

  3. TR

    After the last five year stretch since Dusty was let go, I’ll settle for a .500 season as preparation for contending in 2020 and thereafter.

  4. Doug Gray

    As long as Alex Blandino gets to show off his knuckleball…

  5. Ronald Couch

    You need to ask yourself a couple questions in order to answer that one. First, did this huge roster change, did they improve by 28 games, the distance they finished out of first last year? Obviously not. Did they improve by 14.5 games, the distance out of fourth place last year? Maybe, and the Pirates took a bit of a step back so far this off season, so 4th is a realistic goal. Another thing that gives some perspective to this is what a team that thinks they can win the division did. Adding Andrew Miller and the best move of the off season, trading for Paul Goldschmidt, are moves that show the expectation of winning the division, not just trying to make your attendance rebound by adding a bunch of players who will walk at years end. My question is what does this mean for 2020 and beyond? are all of our top prospects going to be ready next year, and if not, what is the plan, or didn’t they think that far ahead?

    • jay johnson

      May I remind you that Goldy is signed for one year and the cards gave up real ml talent to get him.So far we have given up nothing but weaker prospects and Zero major league ready,help now type players.

  6. Alex

    This talk is crazy. Again, all the talk has been about Sonny gray from a strictly him pitching better. It needs to be reiterated that grays struggles are recent, his injury history is the real issue. I would compare him alot to disco. Teasing and tantalizing and then pulling something. I just can’t for the life of me understand the rush to extend an oft injured pitcher considering the terrible experience they have had with injured players and contracts.

  7. Goat

    They can reach 500 very easily. The starters they had can be more beneficial in the bullpen, Mahle, Romano. They can do way better than 500 if the trade for someone like Kluber, but that won’t happen.
    If they were more willing to trade Senzel then they would be contenders for a few years. With Senzel, they’ll be a tad above mediocrity for the next few years.
    They have a solid foundation offensively , and their pitching is average or better, but with one stud added to this rotation the expectations would be so much higher.
    It’s comparable to about five or six years ago when they were solid with their pitching but deficient with their hitting.
    I am pleased with all of the moves they’ve made but with that one more move it would pay very huge for them in the short term. If everyone is satisfied with a 500 team then yeah they’ll probably achieve that.
    The opportunity is now because after this year you won’t have these caliber of players for the amount of their current cost. Either go out and make a deal for an ace or feel content with a 500 team.

    • TomN

      As much as I’m looking forward to Denzel, I agree with GOAT.

    • Steven Offenbaker

      So “Way better than 500 with someone like Kluber”? Let’s say we trade Senzel plus to get Kluber, and he now takes over Disco’s spot in the rotation. that’s 13 wins difference last season between those two pitchers.

      I’m sorry but Senzel plus more prospects and the extra millions are not worth the 13 wins. I like the approach the Reds have taken with the pitching, 3 solid #2-3 types that can win you alot of games when they are surrounded by these hitters

  8. Goat

    Wow. How a true fan you are. You would rather them finish last so they can have a higher draft pick? I really like your thinking.