Luis Castillo’s 107th pitch of the evening was a 99 MPH fastball that was perfectly placed for a huge strikeout. It is moments like that you cling to during a rebuilding season.

Castillo was certainly not perfect on this evening, and was aided by some spectacular Cincinnati defense. However, Castillo struck out nine batters over 5.2 innings, and limited the Brewers to just two runs. Any talk of Castillo being sent down to the minors anytime soon seems foolish right now.

The Reds offense was lead by early home runs from Adam Duvall and Scooter Gennett. The game was tied in the bottom of the 8th inning. Billy Hamilton lead off the inning with a walk. He stole both second and third base, and ended up scoring on an infield single to give the Reds a 4-3 lead.

Things got a little hairy in the 9th inning. Iglesias gave up two bloop singles, and the Brewers had runners on the corners. Iglesias struck out Aguilar for the second out of the inning, but Arcia took off for second. Tucker Barhart threw a bullet to second base, but the runner from third base took off for the plate. Arcia retreated back towards first base, but Gennett alertly quickly ran him down and tagged him before the tying run touched home. Reds win! The Reds are now 6.5 games back in the NL Central.

Final R H E
Cincinnati Reds (33-44) 4 4 0
Milwaukee Brewers (41-39) 3 8 0
W: Storen (2-2) L: Knebel (0-1) S: Iglesias (14)
FanGraphs Win Probability | Box Score | Game Thread

Biggest Play of the Game

According to Fangraphs WPA statistic (winning percentage added), the most important play of the game was Scooter Gennett’s 2-run home run with 2 outs in the 3rd inning, giving the Reds a 3-2 lead. That play increased the Reds chances of winning by 22.8% (from 45.5% to 63.3%).

Player of the Game

Positives

Luis Castillo turned in a pretty nice night: 5.2 IP, 5 H, 3 BB, 9 K, 1 HR, 3.85 FIP. He is certainly fun to watch, especially that high 90’s fastball. It is pretty amazing that the Reds got Castillo for Dan Straily, and they picked Straily up off waivers last year. That is how a rebuild is supposed to work.

Scooter Gennett hit his 12th home run of the season. Gennett is now hitting .306/.346/.589 on the season. Gennett entered today with a 137 wRC+, which is the 3rd best out of the 30 MLB 2B with 180+ AB, only trailing Jose Altuve and Daniel Murphy (Jose Peraza is dead last).

Adam Duvall hit his 18th home run of the season. Duvall now has 59 career home runs with the Reds in less than 1,000 at-bats.

Billy Hamilton scored the winning run by walking, stealing second, and stealing third. It is amazing what can happen when Billy walks.

Joey Votto walked 3x (once intentional).

Wandy Peralta pitched 1.1 perfect innings with a strikeout.

The Reds defense tonight was spectacular. Schebler robbed a 3-run home run in the first inning that likely would have changed the complexion of this game. Adam Duvall threw out a runner at second base on an absolute laser. Eugenio Suarez also made a nice play.

Negatives

Tony Cingrani has been going really well of late, but he gave up a tying home run tonight.

Not so random thoughts……..

Robert Stephenson had a terrific night in Louisville this evening. Stephenson finally turning the corner?

Joey Votto dressed up in a donkey suit today to support Cozart’s all-star chances while he was being interviewed on the MLB Network. It is pretty cool that Votto, the greatest hitter in Reds history who has been screwed out of the all-star game in four consecutive years, is championing for his teammate so hard.

I tweeted that the Cincinnati ballclub has played some pretty spectacular defense. Someone asked me which Cincinnati team that I was talking about. Please go away forever soccer (sorry Chad).

On a positive note, you have to check out this story about an umpire saving a life today in Pittsburgh. It’s an incredible story.

Up Next:

Brewers at Reds
Thursday, 7:10 PM
TV: FOX Sports Ohio
Homer Bailey (43.20 ERA) vs Jimmy Nelson (3.50 ERA)

 

All statistics are used courtesy of Fangraphs, ESPN Stats & Info, and Baseball-Reference.

29 Responses

  1. Indy Red Man

    That was a great game!! I don’t root for injuries but Kris Bryant got hurt tonite and Reds-killer Montero released. If Homer can get it going then it could be a great homestand! Castillo is fun to watch and has a ton of talent and it was also nice to hear that Bob Steve pitched well tonite. If they really want to rebuild and develop these guys then they should call up Reed/Stephenson for Finnegan/Adleman.

  2. bouwills

    I’m not saying what Duvall did in the 8th inning was great. Brewers chose to give Votto a free pass to 1st with Hamilton on 2nd & 1 out. Billy stole 3rd & Duvall put the ball in play. Billy scored & the Reds won. Joey has enjoyed great success for a little over a year,. about as long as Duvall has been batting cleanup for the Reds. I’m not suggesting a direct relationship, but I am saying it’d be darned foolish to break up a good thing.

    • Michael Smith

      Got to had a monster 2015 before Duvall was here or at least most of it was before.

    • David

      I want to see him do it four or five times in a row. My bet is Reed starts on Saturday.

  3. DavidTurner49

    I’m surprised to see that play in MLB. It seldom worked in little league

  4. Mg2

    Does anyone else remember a certain young Reds Dominican pitcher who struggled a bit with command early on, had incredible fastball movement, slung the ball in a similar fashion, would rack up high pitch counts in solid starts, and slowly but surely began to figure it out….

    Also a not so random thought. Billy Hamilton coming off the bench in 2018 (or now), being used specifically in close games, late, when we get a runner on board and/or as a defensive substitution. Its a curious idea that I think could be a valuable asset. He really does change the entire mood of a close game, and we would be taking out the weakest part of his game while increasing our teams chances of winning in 1 or 2 run games in the 7th inning or later (granted we can get a man on base in the 7th, 8th or 9th). I don’t know the math behind it, but I wonder if the 6-7 innings of Billy defense we would be losing with a below average Schebler in center would be more valuable than 3-4 at bats for Jesse Winker instead of Billy each night.

    Would love to hear people’s thoughts on that idea.

    Either way, go Reds. Stay optimistic. 6.5 games in an insanely inconsistent division (Kris Bryant went down tonight) is nothing, and I would go out on a limb to predict that our starting pitching is only getting better the rest of the season. Think of it this way: if we had Mike Leake or Mr. Cueto in the rotation right now and you subtracted 15 starts from Bronson, Bonilla or whoever….the Reds would be in first place. No, I don’t think we have a GREAT chance to make the playoffs. Yes, I think we would get absolutely torched even if we somehow made it there. But our next Mike Leake and Johnny Cueto (Mahle? Castillo? Stephenson? Reed? All 4?) could be getting ready to integrate themselves into the rotation in the next few weeks.

    • Geoff

      I agree man this team is not far off. They have one huge glaring weakness and that’s the rotation. However, with Homer back and Castillo pitching well, the rotation might get better. This division is so mediocre. I think the Cubs were a one year wonder.

      • lost11found

        Not sure if they are a one-year wonder or just the post-season hangover, especially given the context.

        It’s possible that they rode some career years out of a few people and went all the way. Happens in baseball. I think they are missing Fowler more than one would think. and the starters for them have been middling without any surprises like Hendricks last year.

  5. DavidTurner49

    +1. Make it or break it throw him in the deep end of the pool and see if he can swim after years of lessons time.

  6. DavidTurner49

    btw my previous was a reply to wizeman on bob steve

  7. GreatRedLegsFan

    He seems a total different player this season, hitting to the opposite side and improved defense. Sure to tell that, barring Billy’s low OBP, Reds OF is near the top in all stats.

    • TR

      For a big guy, Schebler has some speed and he has good instincts for the outfield.

  8. GreatRedLegsFan

    Rotation for the next five days shows Bailey, Feldman, TBA, Adleman & Castillo. Hopefully Bailey’s tonight outing will go better. I’d let Stephenson & Reed longer in AAA to allow for self-confidence and endurance. It’s only two turns for the missing starter until the break, which could be filled-up by a spot starter in the 40-man (Bonilla, Stephens), and then bring them up.

    • Da bear

      Best combination of finding out what you have for the next few years AND giving 2017 a chance is Mahle. After that either Stephenson or Reed. Using a pitcher who lacks even AAA success like a Bonilla or Wojo or fill-in-with-your-choice-of-scrub is not only wasteful for the future but disrespectful toward 2017.

      • GreatRedLegsFan

        Mahle is not in 40-man roster. Your-comment-is-disrespectful-as-well. Everybody is allowed to give his/her opinion in this blog. Please, refrain from disqualify other people comments.

  9. Da bear

    Votto in the donkey suit was great, but lets be real – he was not screwed out of the all star game the past two years. He had terrible first halves in 2015 and 2016, each time salvaged by amazing, epic second half hitting.

    • David

      But it was hilarious having him dress up like a donkey. Zack was cracking up.

      • lost11found

        I saw it on QP this morning. Its hard to say which was better, that or the mountie get-up.

  10. james garrett

    The best thing the front office can do is to give the ball every 5th day to 3 young guys the rest of the year.Castillo’s 98/99 will play so pick two more and lets go.Even at that its not enough to get a true picture as to who can or who can’t but anything beats what has happened so far.Remember Amir’s first few starts?It happens and will happen again to somebody but you have to let them pitch to find out.Personally I would plug in Reed and Stephensen and move Aldeman to long relief and lets play ball.Its a rebuild/sort year so lets do it.Already wasted tons of starts on guys not in the future plans.Defense and taking walks won this game tonight after a good start by Castillo.Billy actually walked twice which can be like a double or a trIple.Boy if he could only hit just a little with some pop.

  11. IndyRedMan

    That’s his pattern though….look terrible for 5 weeks then look like RIcky Henderson’s little brother for a week or 2 and just when you think he’s getting it then he goes on the DL.

  12. Tom Mitsoff

    Interestingly, I think we are seeing Schebler develop into an above-average outfielder in terms of defense and offensive production before our eyes. If the front office (and I believe that is who is making the calls about who plays, not the manager) would have given up on him after his early struggles, he may never have had the chance to develop like this.

    This, I believe, is why the front office wants to see Hamilton leading off — to give him a chance to show improvement as a leadoff hitter like Schebler has shown overall — and nobody can do that from the bench or batting ninth.

    It’s frustrating from a fan standpoint at times, but I believe this is the mission of 2017 in the name of “sorting.”

    • IndyRedMan

      Who knows? Castillo pitched vs Votto, Duvall, etc in the Reds vs Reds futures game and gave up 1 or 2 runs in 5ip I think? Ask Votto who is better? Arroyo or Castillo? I would’ve given the kid a few games in AAA and then have at it with the Reds! 99 mph vs 84….sometimes its just that simple! They threw Lorenzen to the wolves in 2015 at 23 and Castillo is 24!

  13. sultanofswaff

    Agreed. Quite soon you’re going to create enough redundancies at certain positions (2B, relief pitching) that those assets could be used to shore up positions of need (SS, CF).

  14. sultanofswaff

    The Cardinals just demoted Aledmys Diaz. His stat line is nearly identical to Peraza.

    Anyone get the sense the Reds would even entertain the idea of demoting Jose?

    Me neither.

  15. james garrett

    There is no logic to explain the handling of Reed and Stephensen.Both need to take the ball every 5th day for the rest of the year.

    • citizen54

      Some of us have been saying that since Spring Training. Promoting Davis and Garrett and getting Arroyo from the dustbin over Reed and Stephenson was always a headscratcher to me.

  16. wizeman

    Stephenson walks 5 i his first two innings back at Louisville and then 7 in his next 24 2/3. How much more does he have to do before someone lets him off the mat.
    Almost like some just want to play to the narrative in their own brain.
    We are supposed to be sorting. Bailey… Castillo. Those are the two in the rotation who have any chance of being on next good Reds team. I thought that was what this year was about.
    Reed, Garrett, Stephenson and Romano all should be in equation along with Mahle. Watching Feldman and Adelman take innings is counter productive.
    4 starts minus the first two innings. 2.75 walks per nine.
    Enough. Six more starts? I thought everybody wanted to see what we have?

  17. Tom Mitsoff

    Very interesting! A couple of reactions, without research to back them up:

    1) When you’re behind by a bunch of runs as consistently as the Reds have been this year, that could explain their last-place standing;

    2) As far as the big decline over a couple of decades, in recent years you have teams unequivocally committing to “rebuilding” and as a result not putting the most competitive team they can in the field. You probably have more games like the Astros of 2011 through 2013 playing the Red Sox, etc. One year, I believe the Astros lost 18 of 19 to the Rangers while I lived in Texas.