Entering tonight’s game, the Cubs had outscored the Reds 24 to 1 this series.  Tonight, the Cubs underscored the Reds 5 to 13.


| Box Score | FanGraphs Winning Percentage |

The Good

Bear with me.  The previous two nights haven’t been fun, so I’m going to write a lot about the good stuff tonight.

Brandon Phillips blistered a double into the left-center field gap which StatCast registered at 105 mph.  On the play, Phillips drove in the Reds 2nd run and was thrown out at 3rd base by Yasiel Puig from RF in Colorado.  Phillips has been hitting the ball hard this year. Harder than this fan expected.  If he can continue this contact quality a few singles will become doubles and he might provide decent production out of the 4-hole.

Zack Cozart had 2 more hits tonight, including a double.  On the season, he’s hitting .380/.377/.560 with a 144 wRC+.  Enjoy the hotness while you can!

Eugenio Suarez, who has been in as bad a slump as anyone lately, homered in the 6th inning off John Lackey to give the Reds a 5-3 lead.  For the season, Suarez is sitting on a slash line of .303/.361/.545 and is on pace for 45 home runs.  Nothing about Suarez’s start to 2016 seems all that unsustainable to me.  He won’t hit 45 home runs, but 22-25 HR with a .270 AVG seems like a lock.

Joey Votto had his first multi-hit game since April 11th at Wrigley Field.  One of those hits was a majestic home run to right-center field.  Perhaps this is the beginning of the Ferrari’s first lap.

Adam Duvall homered in the 6th after a walk by Jay Bruce and an opposite-field single by Devin Mesoraco.  The homer gave the Reds an 8-3 lead. This was your “game winning” hit, since the Cubs ended up with 5 runs. On the year, Duvall is batting .273/.333/.545 and is playing Gold Glove caliber defense in LF.  He’s not a young player at 27, but he’s young enough to be a contributor on the next good Reds team.

Scott Schebler, who has been fairly bad this year, hit his first home run as a Cincinnati Red. Hopefully the first of many. Congrats to him.

The Bad

The bullpen wasn’t great, but they were much better than we’ve grown accustomed to. Caleb Cotham, who had not given up a run before today, gave up two runs in the 7th and threatened to give up more in the dreaded 8th.  He was lifted with 2 runners on base in favor of Tony Cingrani, who promptly walked Jason Heyward to load the bases.  A fantastic pick by Suarez at third on a demolished Kris Bryant ground ball saved at least 2 runs.

The Reds made 2 outs on the base paths tonight.  Seems like a nightly occurrence.

Other Very Random Thoughts

Dan Straily went 4 2/3 innings and gave up 3 runs on 4 hits and 3 walks, while striking out 5.  Around these parts lately, that isn’t too bad.  The Cubs lineup is patient and drove up Straily’s pitch count quite quickly.  He was removed with 97 pitches.

After breaking his 0-19 streak last night, Joey Votto is the proud owner of a 2-game hitting streak.

Votto is 0-15 on ground balls to the right side this year.  Many of those have been swiftly struck.

Caleb Cotham gave up his first runs of the season tonight. He has a 1.86 ERA, 3.34 FIP, and 5.21 xFIP.

Tony Cingrani leads the majors in OBP (Min. PA: 1)

Tyler Holt looks like a very useful 4th outfielder to this Reds fan.

Adam Duvall and Adam Dunn share the first 6 letters of their names.  I think there is something to this…

Home Run Exit Velocities via StatCast

Addison Russell, 107 mph
Joey Votto, 106 mph
Eugenio Suarez, 106 mph
Scott Schebler, 101 mph
Adam Duvall, 100 mph

Tomorrow’s Game

Enjoy tonight’s win while you can.  Alfredo Simon is pitching for the Redlegs tomorrow at 1:10PM and then the Reds head to New York to face Noah Syndergaard on Monday.

34 Responses

    • vegastypo

      yeah, last night’s picture of him head-butting the wall looked kinda painful. Even Milton has to have his limits of frustration he can endure.

  1. dan

    Excited for this win. We finally showed some spine.
    Here is an interesting comparison:
    stats OBP HR Ws K Age
    Suarez .328 4 5 9 24
    Frazier .268 4 6 16 30

  2. pinson343

    It’s nice to see the other team have a Milton game.

    And it wasn’t too long ago that a “Reds Do Their Best Cubs Impression” headline would have meant the Reds had played terribly.

    • Patrick Jeter

      Yeah, I struggled with the title, but given the last 2 nights I figured the Cubs have turned the corner in everyone’s mind! 😉

      • pinson343

        Yeh I had no real confusion – these are not the lovable loser Cubs any more.

      • greenmtred

        I’ve concluded that the Cubs are not really the Cubs. They are the Cardinals now. I don’t know how this happened, just that it did.

    • DHud

      One of my personal favorite headlines from a few years ago: “Cubs Fail to Cub; Reds Cub Instead”

      3 years ago that made me very sad

      • Patrick Jeter

        I remember that one! Loved it.

  3. pinson343

    Good thing that Suarez made that pick in the 8th, a Cubs rally would have scared me, even with a 6 run lead. And even with the 8 run lead in the 9th, I wanted to see Cingrani close it out. He did that nicely, with a 1-2-3-4 inning.

    I’ll never forget the night Weathers and Graves blew a 6 run lead in the 9th against the Cardinals, giving up 7 runs.

      • vegastypo

        I hear ya. There are three or four games of big leads that got away that I cringe just hearing about.

    • Darrin

      Didn’t graves also give up back to back to back jacks the the cubs once?

      • ohiojimw

        I wouldn’t doubt it. He was actually a good closer for a period until the opponents finally figured out he couldn’t throw a pitch for a called strike unless it was in the hitting zone and thus they could lay off his sinker which always ran low.

  4. ohiojimw

    I hope Simon finds some semblance of early season 2014 form, the Reds salvage a split, and most of all, the legion of Cubbie fans at GABP return to ShyCago with a worst taste in their collective mouth than Sam LeCure has in his.

    • I-71_Exile

      Hahaha. Nice. 🙂 Bringing today’s threads full circle.

  5. jessecuster44

    My goodness. Nice bounce back. Win tomorrow, and that’s a series split – which seemed unimaginable Friday night.

    Joey Votto.

  6. ohiojimw

    I like Duvall. I hope he keeps on growing into the LF job and that Winker can play RF.

    • Patrick Jeter

      This is my hope, as well. Winker can certainly play RF, but I doubt he’ll ever be more than average to slightly below average.

      • Redsfan48

        When you say ” I doubt he’ll ever be more than average to slightly below average” what exactly are you referring to? Winker’s defense in RF, Winker as a player in general, or Adam Duvall as a player?

    • Redsfan48

      Or perhaps Duvall could adapt to RF if his defense in left is as good as it appears.

      • ohiojimw

        That’s a thought because most of the world thought he would be an unmitigated disaster in LF; and, he looks like he is going to be average at least.

      • jazzmanbbfan

        Certainly not fielding like the other Adam D so far!!

  7. Redsfan48

    I don’t see Holt as a particularly useful fourth outfielder, but as a fifth outfielder/defensive replacement/pinch runner/guy that can pinch hit just to bunt a runner over, he seems to be quite useful in that role.

    • ohiojimw

      It all comes down to how much Holt can hit or perhaps not just hit but get on base however he can. Otherwise he and Hamilton are largely redundant pieces with Hamilton the better. He was the rally starter Saturday but the rally killer Friday when the game was still very much in the balance.

    • Patrick Jeter

      Over the last 3 seasons across MLB/AAA and a little AA he had a .402 OBP against lefties. He’s got some offense in there somewhere, along with being able to play plus defense at all 3 positions and provide good base running value.

  8. Tct

    Well. Hello there, offense. How you doin? Haven’t seen you in a while . You look mighty fine this evening. What’s that? No, 13 runs doesn’t make you look fat. I like a little meat on my offense

  9. big5ed

    That was a zany game. Cingrani’s pop-up slide at third, en route to home, was funny, as was his reaction to “he-missed-the-bag” appeal play, when Cingrani had practically dislodged the bag. And the Cubs played the infield-in in the 8th, down 7 runs; Chris Welsh said that they were trying to keep it within “double slam range.”

    I’ll give Cotham a pass on the second walk; he threw 41 pitches and had a right to be tired. I will also give Phillips a pass on getting thrown out at third. It was the second out, and he forced them to execute perfectly to get him out by about 3 inches. Good, aggressive baserunning sometimes doesn’t work, but it is not necessarily a bad play just because he was out.

    The Bad was the back-to-back silly throws in the 7th by Duvall and Bruce to home, when the obvious throws were to second base. Also, Mesoraco had what could have been scored a passed ball on the 1st inning strikeout that allowed Dexter Fowler to get to first. That didn’t help Strailly’s pitch count, even if it didn’t cost a run that inning.

    • VaRedsFan

      Great point Big5…I made comments in the game thread, about the throw out at 3rd. Not all outs on the bases are TOOTBLANS.

      The 2 throws by Duvall and Bruce to home plate were mental errors. The physical errors are going to happen, but mental errors are not acceptable.

  10. Steve Mancuso

    Jeff Brantley called Adam Duvall’s home run in the sixth inning. After two pitches in the at bat, Brantley said: “This is shaping up to be a good situation for Duvall. Trevor Cahill likes to pitch inside and low. Adam Duvall’s best location is inside and low. Cahill has tried to throw two pitches outside and missed. You have to believe he’s going to come inside on Duvall this pitch.”

    Next pitch: Inside, low pitch. 3-run homer for Duvall.

  11. sezwhom

    My thoughts too when Duvall was down 2-0. Cahill’s not going to blow anyone away and Duvall was sitting on it. Good to see. I like Duvall. LF is his UFN.