The Reds may not be hitting or pitching the ball especially well these days, but the clubÃ‚Â can still glove it a little bit.Ã‚Â Among the 15Ã‚Â National League ball clubs, the Reds rankÃ‚Â fourth in errors committed, fifth in Defensive Runs Saved, fifth in Ultimate Zone Rating, and seventh in Ã¢â‚¬ËœDefÃ¢â‚¬â„¢, FanGraphsÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ all-encompassing defensive metric. In sum, the Reds are a better-than-average group in the field.
Before we explore the Reds’ individual defenders and their chances of winning a Gold Glove, remember that managers and coaches account for 75 percent of the Gold Glove vote, with the other 25 percent coming from the SABR defensive index.
All statistics are through WednesdayÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s games.
An Excellent Chance: Billy Hamilton
*HamiltonÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s defensive prowess stands out when put in context with theÃ‚Â 32 other NL outfielders that meet FanGraphs’ minimum innings requirement:
|Hamilton||15.8 / 1st||7 / T-8th||14.2 / 2nd||0 / T-1st||7 / T-5th|
Among NL center fielders, HamiltonÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s defensive mastery is put on full display: first in Def and UZR by a landslide; tied for first in errors; second in DRS; and tied for second in assists.
Hamilton is also capable of getting his Wright Brothers on:
[mlbvideo id=”331935183″ width=”400″ height=”224″ /]
And the likely Gold Glove winners in the outfield are…Hamilton, the CardinalsÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ Jason Heyward — which would be HeywardÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s third Gold Glove — and either the DiamondbacksÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ A.J. Pollock or the PiratesÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ Starling Marte.
A Decent Chance: Joey Votto, Brandon Phillips, and Todd Frazier
*Votto has tough battle at first base with the Diamondbacks’Ã‚Â Paul Goldschmidt. Among 10 qualified NL first basemen, GoldschmidtÃ‚Â is first in DRS (Votto is seventh); tied for second in errors with two (Votto is ninth with six errors); third in UZR (Votto is second); and fifth in Def (Votto is third). That may not sound like much separation, but Goldschmidt leads Votto 14-3 in DRS, and the differences between Votto and Goldschmidt in UZR and Def are much closer than in DRS.
The GiantsÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ Brandon Belt tops the charts in UZR and Def and ranksÃ‚Â fourth in DRS, but Belt could lose points because heÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s also made 13 starts in left field this season.
And the likely Gold Glove winner is…Goldschmidt.
*Phillips, who has been both a steady and an occasionally sensational presence at second base for a decade in Cincinnati, is a four-time Gold Glove winner (2008, 2010-11, 2013). If Dat Dude garners a fifth golden mitt, he will become the seventh second basemen ever with at least five Gold Gloves, a group that includes Joe Morgan (five Gold Gloves) and one that is headlined by Roberto AlomarÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s 10 Gold Gloves.
A fifth Gold Glove for Phillips looks unlikely this year, but the achievement is not out of reach. Phillips is tied for third among 10 qualified NL second basemen in DRS (Chris Owings of the Diamondbacks is first); ranks fifth in UZR (Addison Russell of the Cubs is first) and Def (Russell is first); and PhillipsÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ six errors are tied for sixth in the NL (Joe Panik of the Giants is first with two errors).
And the likely Gold Glove winner is…the MarlinsÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ Dee Gordon. Gordon doesnÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t lead any of the aforementioned categories, but he is second in UZR and Def, tied for third in errors, and is tied for third in DRS. Also, Russell recently switched over to shortstop, which will likely take the 21-year-old out of the running at second base. If Phillips finishes strong, look out. He has the name recognition, and his near-constant stream of highlight plays has the potential to stick in the minds of managers and coaches.
*Frazier faces an uphill climb to unseat Nolan Arenado, the RockiesÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ defensive wiz aiming for his third straight Gold Glove.
Note: Statistics among eight qualified NL third basemen.
|Nolan Arenado||1st||1st||1st||7th (13)|
|Matt Duffy||2nd||2nd||2nd||T-4th (9)|
|Todd Frazier||3rd||4th||3rd||T-8th (14)|
Arenado has more than double the DRS and UZR scores of Duffy (the Giants’ rookie third baseman), and the gap is very wide in Def, too.
No Chance: Jay Bruce, Marlon Byrd, and everyone else
*Jay Bruce is still a very good defender, he just isn’t quite Gold Glove-worthy. The Reds’ regular right fielder has recorded just one error on the season, is tied for 10th among qualified NL outfielders in DRS, and is 14th in UZR. Bruce also ranks fifth among NL right fielders in Def.
*As for Marlon Byrd, heÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s been below-average to average. The Reds’ everyday left fielderÃ‚Â is error-free, but heÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s way down the totem pole in outfield assists (two), UZR (27th), and Def (-8.7) while his DRS of zero is a little below par.
*At catcher, the Reds have been splitting time between Brayan Pena and Tucker Barnhart — each of whom rank negatively in terms of DRS — most of the season, which automatically puts the Reds out of the running. The award is always Yadier MolinaÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s to lose — the CardinalsÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ backstop has won the award in seven consecutive years — but traditional, advanced, and pitch framing stats all smile upon theÃ‚Â Giants’Ã‚Â Buster Posey, so he is my pick to win.
*Shortstop is similar to catcher; Eugenio Suarez and the injured Zack Cozart have virtually the same number of starts with 54 and 52, respectively. CozartÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s numbers were strong prior to his gruesome knee injury, but with Andrelton Simmons, the two-time reigning winner at shortstop for the Braves, enjoying another strong season, it wouldÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ve been difficult for Cozy to knock off the champ. Simmons is my pick to win, despite admirableÃ‚Â defensive play from the GiantsÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ Brandon Crawford and the MarlinsÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ Adeiny Hechavarria.
*I wonÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t pretend to know who the NLÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s top fielding pitcher is, but the DRS numbers favor the DodgersÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ Zack Greinke, the MetsÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ Jacob deGrom, and the GiantsÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ Mike Leake.