Final R H E
Miami Marlins (29-40) 0 4 0
Cincinnati Reds (31-35) 5 9 0
W: Leake (4-4) L: Haren (6-4)
FanGraphs Win Probability | Box Score

The Good
–It all starts with Mike Leake. Leake took a no-hitter into the sixth; in the end, he tossed seven shutout innings, allowing only two hits while striking out seven Marlins.

–Todd Frazier continued his hot hitting, going 2-4 with a double and a run scored. Tucker Barnhart had the same hitting line. Jay Bruce doubled in two runs and walked.

–JJ Hoover pitched a scoreless eighth inning. Pedro Villareal tossed a scoreless ninth.

–Welcome back, Marlon Byrd. Byrd only had one hit, but it was a solo homer in the first that gave the Reds a lead they would never relinquish.

The Bad

Not-So-Random Thoughts
–Green jerseys and green hats! And a three-game winning streak!

–How good has JJ Hoover been this year? As noted by Trent, Hoover hasn’t allowed a run in 28 of his 31 appearances this season. Despite the general consensus entering this season, it’s almost like he’s a good pitcher or something.

–The Reds have won 10 of 13 against the Marlins. Can we play them every day?

–Bruce is 8 for 12 in his last three games. On the season, he’s now hitting .233/.341/.430, a far cry from his stats a month ago. His wRC+ is now 111. Amazing to see how quickly he has brought his numbers up to above-average production. Love this guy (especially when he’s hitting like he is currently).

–Anthony DeSclafani will pitch against his old team tomorrow. I hope he beats them.

–Go Reds.

49 Responses

  1. User1022

    Reds are suddenly just 4 games under .500. After they finish with the Marlins, they have 9 games against winning teams (3 each with Pittsburgh, NY Mets and Twins). If they can go 6-3 over that stretch, this season may have potential to be somewhat interesting beyond the assumed impending fire sale.

    • RedAlert

      Hopefully so – but as long as Price is the manager , I won’t hold my breath for that scenario (i.e. yesterday’s lineup against Verlander – absolutely ridiculous)

  2. Steve Mancuso

    Shout out to the defense. Todd Frazier and Brandon Phillips made outstanding plays. Votto had a nice scoop, too.

    • Shchi Cossack

      Votto fields throws to 1B as good, if not better than any 1B in baseball. He saves many an error for the Reds infielders and their defense really suffers when he is not in the lineup. Even when he couldn’t field his position due to the leg injuries, he was still pickin ’em at the base.

    • Shchi Cossack

      Suarez also had a very nice pick tonight on a tough, overspin grounder.

      • sezwhom

        Only 23 years old. Was robbed of a double in his first AB. I like him. Nice insurance to have at SS.

    • lwblogger2

      Yes, that was gorgeous… My daughter who isn’t exactly a baseball lover even got up and whooped it up on that Frazier play. BP’s bare-handed pickup and throw was a thing of beauty too. He can play 2B for me any day.

  3. Shchi Cossack

    Byrd’s solo shot to Right-Center was in the 4th not the 1st.

  4. Shchi Cossack

    Leake was absolutely dealing through 4 innings and until enticing Stanton into a ground ball to 2B for the 1st out in the 5th. I have no idea what happened with back-to-back 4-pitch BB in the 5th, other than a loss of concentration, but he recovered nicely. Leake’s stock is again rising after a 3 game stumble.

  5. WVRedlegs

    This has been a good week for the Reds, minus Moscot’s injury. Cueto, Leake and Chapman have excelled this week, showing why they will command top prospects in a sellers market from contending teams itching to raise the trophy in October.

    • Vicferrari

      Was not exactly a banner weak for Cueto, had potential for stellar games blew a 3-0 lead against the Cubs and was cruising then gave up a 3 run homer to Cabrera. 7 Runs in 12.1 innings is not exactly Marquisuesque, but he is giving up big HR in key situations. Hopefully we will get to be better starts before the trade comes.

    • Vicferrari

      Also I do not quantify a good week that includes a 3 game losing streak including 2 walk off wins, but the past 4 days have been good so I will assume that is what you mean, maybe I will agree with you on Monday.

  6. Vicferrari

    What no shout out for Schumaker???, has to be one of the best pinchhitters in all of baseball this season and that was a big hit in a tight game. Hoover is not the only one with a ER-less streak going, Pedro Villareal has 6 consecutive innings without an ER by my count. Has there ever been a player called up for such short stints over a 4 year MLB career.

    • Seadog

      Schumaker??? Really? Please let him “pinchhit” for anyone else. Or start. or take up a spot on the 40 man roster. Or rub pinetar on the bats… Just anywhere else but here. He is absolutely worthless at this point.

      • Vicferrari

        Are you disputing Schu did drive a run in a tight game with a hit which would have been much bigger had the Reds not broke it open in the 8th?
        I guess if you had to you would Vote for Pedro over the 2 I mentioned… but I was just pointing out 2 unlikely heroes. I am half way kidding but was suprised I could find something positive. Have you seen Schu’s batting stats when he is not in the field ( DH and PH)? Probably a fluke I know and even more reason to not play him anywhere, but at least you have someone that produces as PH- he might be leading the league in PH’s.

      • lwblogger2

        It was a big hit and Schu deserves his due for that one.

  7. GreatRedLegsFan

    Nice defensive plays by Eugenio Suarez this evening. If the guy is able to hit like in AAA, I wonder what’s going to be next season once Cozart is back.

  8. sunbreakthedawn

    Barnhart behind the plate is a pleasure to watch. He’s an advanced signal caller with a bullet of an arm. Suarez has been good so far. His game, while not spectacular, seems well designed for consistent performance. I’m starting to see a young core developing and it has been okay so far.

      • lwblogger2

        Barnhart does have a cannon. Although, at times it is um… inconsistent as far as accuracy. He gets rid of the ball quickly too.

    • Vicferrari

      Pretty decent stats batting left handed, awful batting right

    • tct

      Alright, time for some Tucker stats:

      25 guys have tried to steal on Tuck in his short MLB career, and he’s thrown 13 out. That’s a 52% rate, while the league average is around 30%.

      According to statcast, Tucker’s pitch framing gets his pitchers an extra 1.5 strikes per game, compared to the average catcher, which is the 8th best mark among catchers who have caught 1000+ pitches. It’s above guys like Molina, Lucroy, and Martin. Bryan Pena is below average in framing so far this year at -0.43 strikes per game. So, thus far, there has been about a 2 strike per game difference between the 2.

      Small sample size applies here, but Tucker has always been considered a plus defensive catcher, and he definitely passes the eye test.

      Tucker is now hitting .255/.304/.451 against righties for a 100 wRC+. Obviously, small sample again, but he always hit pretty well against righties in the minors. So, if you can keep him from batting right handed, you’ve got a 24 year old, plus defensive catcher with something close to league average offense. He’s a real nice piece to have, and I think the Reds will get some solid value out of him over the next 6 years if they use him right.

      • Steve Mancuso

        Great comment. The defensive value of catchers, especially pitch framing, is a fairly recent metric. I’m in the middle of reading Big Data Baseball by Travis Sawchik. It’s about how the Pirates used new metrics to go from consistent loser to postseason team. One of the sections is about how they identified Russell Martin based on his pitch framing. They pursued Martin more than other clubs and got him and their interest was based in significant part on an appreciation for pitch framing.

      • Steve Mancuso

        The Pirates paid Martin $15 million for two years, his age 30 and 31 seasons. They received more than $60 million in market value.

      • Steve Mancuso

        Here are recent Reds acquisitions:

        Skip Schumaker (age 34-35) -1.5 WAR, $4.5 million
        Jack Hannahan (33-34) -0.7 WAR, $2 million
        Ryan Ludwick (34-35) -1.5 WAR, $10.5 million
        Wilson Valdez (34) -1.7 WAR, $1 million
        Ramon Santiago (34) +0.6 WAR, $1.1 million
        Kevin Gregg (37) -0.8 WAR, $1.5 million
        Jason Marquis (36) -1.6 WAR, $1.5 million
        Brennan Boesch (30) -1.2 WAR, $1.25 million
        Manny Parra (31-32) -0.3 WAR, $5.5 million
        Brayan Pena (32-33) +0.4 WAR, $2.275 million
        Marlon Byrd (37) -0.2 WAR, $4 million + Lively
        Jonathan Broxton (29-30) +1.1 WAR, $11 million
        Cesar Izturis (33) +0.4 WAR, $800,000

  9. Vanessa Galagnara

    Bruce played well and proved me wrong on my initial comments about his game play. I am glad to be wrong about a player when they show up and play some ball.

  10. mtkal

    Can someone explain the green uniforms? I only ever remember seeing them on St. Patrick’s Day in spring training before.

  11. Wire_to_Wire

    It is very difficult for some on this forum to acknowledge their previous misjudgments. Many wanted no part of Hoover this year but he has been way above “serviceable” thus far. There were many that thought Byrd would not be able to match his stats from last year at Philly due to his age. There are many other examples but it seems like folks throw tons of negative predictions but only focus on the ones that wind up coming true and bang on management saying “how could they have been so dumb – we predicted this before the year started”. I would also be interested if someone could go back and look at the other players folks wanted to pick up besides Byrd and show how they have turned out this year. Zobrist has not exactly excelled for Oakland (obviously injuries a factor) and Heisey has not done much with the Dodgers. What about the other candidates? I understand a forum is for opinions and speculation but would be interesting for a change to look back at how folks suggestions would have worked.

      • vegastypo

        The difference there, to me, is that the Dodgers obviously have better guys to play out there when healthy, etc.. Did the Reds? Not even close. It would have done little harm to put Heisey out there for a month or two and see what happens. Water under the bridge, but hey, I didn’t bring it up.

      • tct

        Are you really saying that Skip and Boesch are better options than Heisey? Seriously?

      • ohiojimw

        No I didn’t say that. Boesch and Heisey are both 4A guys for differing reasons, Pick your poison. Schu is over the age hill. The team needed somebody better than all three of them. It is kind of irrelevant which is the least incapable at the MLB level. although Boesch is much cheaper than Heisey would have been.

        I always thought the irony of Heisey in Cincy was that he succeeded to the degree he did because his manager (DB) recognized he was an outstanding dead red fastball hitter who struggled to hit breaking stuff and did a good job of getting him into situations where he was going to see a lot of fastballs. Then each time when the player foundered in general use because he couldn’t adjust and hit breaking balls, much of the public blamed the manager for not giving the player more or better chances.

    • tct

      Nearly everyone on this board, myself included, gave Walt credit for the Simon trade. The Latos trade wasn’t as well received, but I don’t think anyone thought it was horrible. Some just felt that he could’ve got more for Latos, although it looks really good in hindsight.

      I didn’t hate the Byrd trade, but he wouldn’t have been my first option. You seem to be implying that Byrd has been good, but he hasn’t. He is at replacement level and has an OBP in the .280 range. Dexter Fowler was a guy that was available for a similar price and he has put up a little over a win for the Cubs.

      Where Walt failed was in filling out the bench, bullpen and fifth starter spot. He traded away a solid bench player in Heisey to save a couple million and then turned around and gave that money to guys like Marquis and Gregg. Then he went out and signed low OBP, high strikeout guys like Dominguez and Boesch off the scrap heap. Yes, money was tight. But it was only tight because of the stupid contracts Walt gave out in previous years. They are paying Ludwick and Hannahan something like 5 million dollars to not play. They are paying Marshall 6-7 million. They are paying Skip over a million. All those contracts seemed like bad ideas at the time and if Walt hadn’t made them they would have had some more money to spend on the bench and bullpen. But they did have some money and they didn’t spend it wisely.

    • lwblogger2

      I wanted Aoki or Rasmus… Turns out Rasmus cost more than I thought he would (1yr/$8-million for the Astros). His line .254/.325/.514 I’ll take any day though… Aoki may not have signed for the Reds at the $4-million he signed for the Giants but I’d take his .317/.383/.385 any day too. I wasn’t a big fan of bringing in Byrd. I wasn’t as down on it as some folks though… As for Hoover, I thought he had the stuff to succeed and advocated keeping him to at least start the year. I liked bringing in Boesch and Satin. Boesch has been brutal though so clearly I was wrong about him. I didn’t like giving up Heisey and he’s continued to struggle for the Dodgers this year. Loved the Simon trade but he would have looked good in a broken down rotation right now.

  12. vegastypo

    Incidentally, Thom made a point of saying that if a second Marlin had reached base in the 9th inning, it would have been a save situation for Chapman. Really? Even with a second base runner, the tying run still would not have reached the on-deck circle, so I don’t get the “save” situation he referenced. …

    Can’t help wondering whether Price would have lifted Villarreal and brought in Chapman right after a second guy reached base, or waited until it was a pure “save” situation?

    • tct

      With a 5 run lead, Chapman would have had to come in with the bases loaded for it to be a save situation.

    • VaRedsFan

      Heard that too…THOM’s! statement was wrong

  13. Playtowin

    Schu is a valuable bench player. He can play 2B, 3B, and the 3 outfield positions. He wins the hustle award which means he leads by example which is a valuable asset on any team. Schu is not the problem on this team. Given they are only 4 games under .500 despite the injuries and lack of expected performance at a few positions we might want to give Price some credit.

  14. whereruklu

    I’ve seen the lineup for Sat. game. The Reds are going to win. Guaranteed.