The Cincinnati Reds (5-7) are in Milwaukee (2-10) for their last stop of this 10 game road trip. The Brewers were swept by Pittsburgh over the weekend and have lost five straight. They have the worst run differential (-35) in all of baseball. They are also last in runs allowed per game and defensive efficiency and second-to-last in runs scored per game and team fielding percentage.
There’s not a lot of offseason roster changes to review. According to Nick Carrington, the Brewers followed the Reds plan of hope their core players stay healthy and produce in 2015.
The following stats are all 2014 actuals except for the 2015 FIP projection (ZiPS).
|PITCHER||2015 FIP||2014 FIP||HR/9||BB%||K%|
Anthony DeSclafani is the only Reds starter credited with a pitcher’s win so far this season, and is the only Reds pitcher to get a win in the past eight games.
Wily Peralta had the Reds number in two starts last season. In 15 innings, he allowed just six hits, four walks, and one run while striking out 12. While it is a little early to dive into 2015 seasonal stats, it is worth noting that Peralta’s fastball and slider velocity was down in his first two games compared to prior seasons. Peralta has both a four seam fastball and a two seamer that he threw about 95 MPH. So far this year, it’s averaged 93 MPH, including just 92.2 MPH against the Cardinals in his last start. His 85 MPH slider is also down in the low 80’s so far this year. I have not found whether that is intentional for better control or he has something else going on. While Peralta has walked just one batter in 12 innings, he also only has three strikeouts.
The Brewers bullpen shares the same -0.1 WAR as the Reds bullpen. Neal Cotts and Will Smith are brought in from the left side, while our old friend Jonathan Broxton and Francisco Rodriguez pitch late inning right handed roles.
Billy Hamilton returns to the lineup after a one day absence. Devin Mesoraco had to leave yesterday’s game early and is not with the club today “for family reasons“. Price said that Mesoraco is expected to be back on Monday.
Carlos Gomez was placed on the 15-day DL late last week with a hamstring sprain. Geraldo Parra has been getting starts in center field in the interim. Second baseman Scooter Gennett sliced his hand in the shower requiring stitches. Hector Gomez get the starts for him tonight.
The Reds will face the Brewers seven times over the next 10 days while missing #2 starter Matt Garza in this four game series. Both teams are trying to snap their respective losing streaks and looking to avoid finishing the month in 5th place.