From Lance McAlister’s blog:

Home/Road
Reds: 72 games…35 home/37 road
Cards: 74 games….39 home/35 road

Games vs +.500 teams
Reds: 25 games vs +.500 teams: 9 home/16 road
Cards: 32 games vs +.500 teams: 22 home/10 road

Games vs -.500 teams
Reds: 47 games vs -.500 teams: 26 home/21 road
Cards: 42 games vs -.500 teams: 17 home/25 road

Last 22 games
Games vs +.500: Reds 3, Cards 10
Games vs -.500: Reds 19, Cards 12

Opponents in last 22 games
Reds: (3) Pitt, (4) Arizona, (6) Houston, (6) Milwaukee, (3) San Diego
Cards: (2) Atlanta, (6) Chicago, (4) San Diego, (6) Pittsburgh, (4) Colorado

I know this is all open to second guessing…but the biggest things about it that concern me are the Reds West Coast Road trip (8/17-8/25 to Az, LA, & SF) and the fact that the Cards play 22 of their 32 games against above .500 teams at home. If the Reds can get to that last 22 games and be in the hunt, I’ll feel pretty good about their chances.