There is still a lot of baseball to play this season. In each of the past 9 losing seasons, the Reds have seen first place, last place and everywhere in between at this early point in the year. But where will they finish in 2010?

I surveyed the editors during the last week of spring training to see how they thought the NL Central standings would look by the end of the season. Here’s the Redlegnation.com 2010 NL Central predictions from the beginning of the season:

Place Team 2010 Wins 2009 Actual Wins
1st Cardinals 90.8 91
2nd Reds 82.7 78
3rd Brewers 82.5 80
4th Cubs 81.7 83
5th Pirates 71.3 62
6th Astros 70.5 74

I expect that we’d see a different answer for our Redlegs if we conducted the same poll Sunday evening. However, this is still the same team for the remaining 149 games of the 2010 season that we thought they were in March, and a losing series to the Pirates doesn’t change the full season outlook in my mind.

After a couple of nights to sleep it off, I’m still predicting that the Reds break their 9 season losing streak this year.

23 Responses

  1. per14

    I like the new look but for one thing: the font is a little hard to read. A little too light in color. Just my $.02

  2. Chad Dotson

    @per14: The font in the post, or here in the comments? (I know it’s the same font, but I was wondering if the gray background of the comments was the problem, or if you were having trouble with the actual posts.)

  3. Steve

    Generally I really like the look of the new design. I’m sure you’re still tinkering.

    The banner material takes up a huge amount of the front page, such that the first post starts about 1/5 of the way up my (large) monitor.

    There is a lot of white space at the top, above the blog title. Can you condense the subheading so that it isn’t two lines?

  4. RiverCity Redleg

    I think I like the new look, but one minor glich; it doesn’t tell us which editor posted/wrote the new posts.

  5. GRF

    The post font is ok, but agree that in the comments the contrast between the font and the background is a little light (of course I need my glasses to see anything, so take with a grain of salt).

  6. francijx

    I’d like the format better if it could get on base more. Other than that its cool. 🙂

  7. Travis G.

    The font’s a little small and a darker gray would probably help stand out, but I do like the font itself. I agree with Steve on the banner size, but I like the overall feel of the redesign.

    Back to the team, I have not given up hope at all, but I’m worried about the starters in general and Cueto in particular. I think the defense will regress to the mean, but they need to get more than five innings from their starters.

    I’m really interested to see Bailey tonight, as I am every time he takes the mound, but I’ve been impressed so far that he’s kept them in games despite not having his best stuff. That said, I’d like to see him flash his best stuff sometime soon.

  8. GRF

    Stop posting about being optimistic! It is like a police office in a movie saying he is going to retire in a week. No good can come of it.

    Seriously though, the early trends that remain worrying to me are the (apparent, I have not looked at stats to confirm this believe) lack of patience at the plate, lack of hitting off the bench, and of course lineup construction. None of those seem like they will get better over the course of the year (unless some moves are made).

  9. Jason461

    I agree that the banner is a bit to big, otherwise, I really like the new layout.

  10. hoosierdad

    I think the wins total for the REDS is just about right. They certainly should finish above .500, but not by more than a couple of games or so. Now is not the time to panic, but it may very well be time to “shake-up” the line-up a bit. How about:
    1. CD
    2. Rolen
    3. Votto
    4. Bruce
    5. Phillips
    6. Stubbs (in LF) or Gomes/Nix
    7. Hannigan
    8. Janish
    9. pitcher’s spot.

    With Votto and Rolen ahead of Bruce and Phillips behind him, Bruce should see more strikes, which should improve his average. He’s already hitting the cover off the ball, just not having the hits fall in.

  11. francijx


    hoosierdad:

    I think the wins total for the REDS is just about right. They certainly should finish above .500, but not by more than a couple of games or so. Now is not the time to panic, but it may very well be time to “shake-up” the line-up a bit. How about:1. CD2. Rolen3. Votto4. Bruce5. Phillips6. Stubbs (in LF) or Gomes/Nix7. Hannigan8. Janish9. pitcher’s spot.
    With Votto and Rolen ahead of Bruce and Phillips behind him, Bruce should see more strikes, which should improve his average. He’s already hitting the cover off the ball, just not having the hits fall in.
    Reply

    Are you saying you want Rolen to play SS? 😀

  12. World

    Everything needs a shakeup.

    First, Dusty needs to go. Bob will never, ever sign him for another year so he’s on the clock. Maybe you should root for losses so that Castellini is forced to stop the effusion of blood and change skippers. That being said, the next manager needs to be a leader. Sweet Lou is not the man as he is looking at the rocking chair. Dave Johnson looks ridiculous in a uniform as I observed when I watched a Nationals’ spring training contest. Bobby Valentine would straighten out this team but he is probably eyeing a return to Queens and the Metropolitans. Whoever it is, he has to understand what makes a team win. I would be interested in knowing who the Redleg Nation believes would fit the bill.

    Second, the team needs shoring up in obvious ways. Some are reasonably easy. Janish should play SS and OC should be on the bench. PJ’s defense is outstanding and was part of the glue that led to second half respectability last year. For that matter, Janish has showed improvement at the plate and would be a decent #8 hitter if there is such a thing. Check my buddy Doug Flynn’s stats when he hit eighth for the Mets in 1979 and 1980. I think Janish could duplicate that and be in the running for a Gold Glove at SS. No small feat there!

    BP to bat 2nd, trade Harang ASAP if anyone would take him (try the Phillies as they need a lot of help), forget about Rolen hitting 4th and acquire a cleanup hitter in a trade to play left until the Big Boy toiling in AA is ready.

    Stuff like that. But change managers sooner rather than later. The locals are restless and are going to be ruthless if this recent slide becomes a habit.

  13. TheNatural

    Edinson Volquez has been suspended 50 games for a PED violation.

  14. Steve

    I’m all for an established leader as the next manager. But it needs to be someone with at least a respect for advanced statistical analysis.

    I’m not saying our next manager needs to be Bill James. But someone, like Terry Francona, who gets it that the leadoff hitters need to get on base. They don’t have to be fast or play CF or SS. Just get on base.

    It also needs to be someone who understands that ballplayers should not be measured by RBI – a statistic that is almost entirely a function of opportunity.

    Is that too much to ask?

    This philosophy also has to be shared by the GM. To give Jocketty the benefit of the doubt (not sure he deserves it with Taveras, Cabrera, Nix etc.) he could adopt this idea independently of the manager.

  15. Travis G.


    TheNatural:

    Edinson Volquez has been suspended 50 games for a PED violation.

    Reply

    I was just about to post something about this. So that’s why he’s progressing so quickly from ulnar lateral ligament replacement surgery!

  16. Travis G.

    I’m not interested in someone who’s got an esoteric sense of what makes a team win; I want someone who understands what skills are needed for each position and who’s adept and identifying them in his personnel.

    I want someone who’s not afraid to bat a catcher second if his skills suit the spot or move a guy up or down the defensive spectrum if it improves the club. I want someone who knows when it’s time to bench a veteran, and does it. I want someone who would consider using their best reliever in non-save situations. I want someone who appreciates statistics that weren’t printed on baseball cards in the 1970s. I want someone who sees and anticipates changes in the way the game is played now instead of stubbornly clinging to some nostalgic ideal.

    To my mind, if you can do all those things while not acting like a total Bobby Valentine to your players, you’re going to be pretty successful.

  17. per14

    @Chad Dotson: Good question. I’d say it’s harder to read (for me at least) on the actual posts.

  18. pinson343


    per14:

    @Chad Dotson: Good question. I’d say it’s harder to read (for me at least) on the actual posts.

    Reply

    I can read the post just as easily, but am having more trouble reading the comments. Not sure why. Overall I think there’s just too much grey: light and dark.

  19. pinson343


    GRF:

    The post font is ok, but agree that in the comments the contrast between the font and the background is a little light (of course I need my glasses to see anything, so take with a grain of salt).

    Reply

    Maybe that’s my problem. I repeat that overall I like the new layout.

  20. pinson343

    82 or 83 wins still seems like a good prediction to me.

    But first we’re probably going to sink further under .500, with the Dodgers coming to town.

  21. RiverCity Redleg


    Travis G.:

    I’m not interested in someone who’s got an esoteric sense of what makes a team win; I want someone who understands what skills are needed for each position and who’s adept and identifying them in his personnel.
    I want someone who’s not afraid to bat a catcher second if his skills suit the spot or move a guy up or down the defensive spectrum if it improves the club. I want someone who knows when it’s time to bench a veteran, and does it. I want someone who would consider using their best reliever in non-save situations. I want someone who appreciates statistics that weren’t printed on baseball cards in the 1970s. I want someone who sees and anticipates changes in the way the game is played now instead of stubbornly clinging to some nostalgic ideal.
    To my mind, if you can do all those things while not acting like a total Bobby Valentine to your players, you’re going to be pretty successful.
    Reply

    Does this person exist?