Interesting article by Mark Sheldon:
When do we stop saying “it’s just spring” and start worrying — if at all?
Keep these 2009 statisitics in mind:
Francisco Cordero had a 12.10 ERA in spring. He saved 39 in the regular season with a 2.16 ERA.
Arthur Rhodes had a 5.63 ERA in spring and 2.66 ERA in regular season.
Bronson Arroyo had a 5.95 ERA in spring and a 3.84 ERA in the season with 15 wins.
On the flip side…
Micah Owings was lights out with a 1.52 ERA in spring and had a terrible season (7-12, 5.34).
OF Darnell McDonald batted .300 in camp to make the team and was sent out by May.
Jay Bruce had a nice spring with a .300 average and batted .223 when the games counted.
And this year is probably no different. And he follows it up with some thoughts/questions…
Do Burton’s numbers mean he’s no longer a roster lock, especially with Logan Ondrusek looking great and throwing 7 1/3 scoreless innings? Is Harang headed for another tough year?
They say numbers don’t lie, but in spring, they don’t always tell the truth either. That’s why I try not to make a lot out of anything based on spring stats, unless it’s a position battle between two guys without much of a track record (ie: Stubbs and Dickerson for center field).
When it came to Harang, Dusty Baker was not worried.
“I definitely look beyond [the spring numbers],” Baker said. “He’s throwing the ball with better velocity and coming inside, and using his legs. If you don’t get the results, you have to find some positives in there. The positive is he’s throwing the ball good.”
*There were six errors committed during the sloppy game. Drew Sutton’s two at shortstop probably did not help his cause for the last couple of bench spots.