Baseball Prospectus.com has published its anticipated Reds roster, based on “conversations with club executives and media members.” This projected roster is obviously subject to change.

Cincinnati Reds

    Lineup

CF Drew Stubbs
SS Orlando Cabrera
1B Joey Votto
2B Brandon Phillips
3B Scott Rolen
RF Jay Bruce
LF Jonny Gomes
C Ramon Hernandez

    Bench

C Ryan Hanigan
INF Paul Janish
INF Aaron Miles
OF Chris Dickerson
OF Wladimir Balentien

    Rotation

RHP Aaron Harang
RHP Johnny Cueto
RHP Bronson Arroyo
RHP Homer Bailey
LHP Travis Wood

    Bullpen

RHP Francisco Cordero (closer)
LHP Arthur Rhodes (set-up)
RHP Nick Masset (set-up)
LHP Daniel Ray Herrera (middle)
RHP Mike Lincoln (middle)
RHP Jared Burton (middle)
RHP Micah Owings (long)

    Disabled List

RHP Edinson Volquez
LHP Bill Bray

19 Responses

  1. pinson343

    This seems like an accurate prediction. As others have said, I’d rather see Sutton on the roster than Miles. And I’d rather see any number of people other than Lincoln, but this is probably how it will go down.

    I hope Nix stays in the organization with the Bats.

  2. Jason461

    Yeah, looks about right to me. I wouldn’t be surprised if Dickerson, Gomes, and Stubbs are all in a weird platoon-ish situation where they all get about the same number of ABs, but overall, this does seem about right.

  3. Bill Lack

    Only problem with Nix staying in the organization, that means he plays in Louisville..in front of what young guy? Good decisions to have to make, I guess.

    Guy that’s really helped himself in the organization in ST…Ondrusek. Hasn’t allowed a run in 7 2/3, 2 hits, no walks, and K’d 7. By multiple accounts, he was 2 weeks from being released at this time last spring, no one in the organization has come further in the last year.

  4. RiverCity Redleg

    I would rather see Chris Burke over Miles. And I think Nix has earned his spot over Balentein. And like Bill says, ondersek has earned his spot over Lincoln. I like Travis Wood in the 5 spot.

  5. Matt WI

    I really wish it could have been Frazier over Miles. Janish and Miles just offer so little in terms of offense. I’d love Janish for his glove and Frazier for a chance to dig into some big league pitching. But, truly, this would not be a surprising Opening Day roster, and better than last years of for nothing else than the exclusion of Darnell McDonald.

    I hate that the team may have to suffer in games that count if Lincoln is left to pitch his way out of a job. Hope he can bring it back around.

  6. toyboy

    Ondrusek has been the most impressive pitcher throughout camp and he doesn’t get consideration. Big mistake. Miles must have pictures of Dusty to make this team. Haven’t we had enough of guys like this in the Dusty years? Sutton has more speed, power, arm strength, and overall talent. Hard to push Rolen aside, but Juan Francisco isn’t far away from being that next guy at third.

    I’ve not yet seen the magic Cabrera is supposed to bring. He has not shown anything in Goodyear to put him in the two hole. The “weak hitting” Janish is making Orlando look bad, not to mention he is far better with the glove. I’d prefer to see Bruce get more AB’s than Orlando.

    On a positive note it is refreshing to be in the position to leave talent behind. This team does have the makings to be a winning team. There is talent close by in case of injuries. There will be pitchers in Louisville that are ready for the big time.

    Oh yeah…. I hate Phillips in the 4 hole. But I guess you gotta do what you gotta do.

  7. Python Curtus

    Take comfort in the fact that traditionally they always make one change or another before the end of April. Miles and Lincoln are there because they are two of Jocketty’s people from StL and they have largeish contracts. I don’t expect them to be there for long. If the overriding belief is thatChapman will be sent down, then I believe it would be because of what Baker said—-he doesn’t have enough experience with bunting or other nitty-ggritty plays. This might be easily corrected. I also think it would be beneficial for him to spend some time in the bullpen—-replacing Lincoln. I do, sadly, expect Harang will be traded and that is when Chapman will take over as a starter

    • Bill Lack

      Take comfort in the fact that traditionally they always make one change or another before the end of April.Miles and Lincoln are there because they are two of Jocketty’s people from StL and they have largeish contracts.I don’t expect them to be there for long.If the overriding belief is thatChapman will be sent down, then I believe it would be because of what Baker said—-he doesn’t have enough experience with bunting or other nitty-ggritty plays.This might be easily corrected.I also think it would be beneficial for him to spend some time in the bullpen—-replacing Lincoln.I do, sadly, expect Harang will be traded and that is when Chapman will take over as a starter

      The press comments about Chapman’s bunting, etc…is something else that I thought Chris had some interesting comments about.

  8. TC

    I suppose if Miles has a bounce back year, I won’t mind him so much. But I suspect he is this year’s Taveras/Patterson. Dusty always has to have one. At least he is a bench guy.

    @toyboy: I don’t like seeing Phillips in the four hole either and the excuse that there isn’t anyone else is wearing thin. Especially when you have Gomes and Rolen in your lineup.

    Dusty is a smart guy. He really is. But for the life of me, I can’t understand why… WHY!!!! was Janish batting second yesterday. Oh! I just figured it out. Because he played SS and we all know the leadoff must play at CF and the 2 hole must be a SS.

    Whatever, Skip. 🙄

    Mr. Jocketty’s best move this winter was getting a legitimate 2-hole hitter as the Short Stop to Dusty proof the lineup.

  9. pinson343

    Ondrusek has been very impressive, and tops the list of those who have earned a spot over Lincoln.

    WJ made a mistake, obviously, with the 2 year Lincoln contract. He also made a mistake with Taveras and traded that mistake for Oakland’s mistake (Miles).

    In any case, he’s reluctant to admit his mistakes, but he does want to win, and he eventually comes around. If MIles and Lincoln don’t perform, their days are numbered. (The number might be too big, but what can I say.)

    • Bill Lack

      Ondrusek has been very impressive, and tops the list of those who have earned a spot over Lincoln.

      I don’t think anyone has come further in this organization in the last year than Ondrusek, and I want someone to take Lincoln’s spot…but let’s remember “sample size” also.

  10. crypticphrasing

    Whenever I think of the 25th man, I can’t help but remember ol’ Jacob Cruz and how pinch hitting seemed to get more talk and attention with the Reds.

    The team has a better balance and selection of pinch hitters for the late innings if Nix is on the roster instead of Balentien. Owings can be the rightie pinch hitter deluxe(4 hits in 16 ab last year), but that projected roster and starting eight has only Dickerson and Aaron Miles as leftie hitters off the bench. Miles hit a woeful .167 in 30 PH abs last year; Dickerson apparently was 4 of 19 at a PH last year; Nix as slightly better with more chances– 8 hits in 35 PH abs. Balentien is a paltry 1/19 in his career as a PH and is clearly the worst of the bunch as a PH.

    I’m not saying pinch hitting should solely determine who gets on the roster, but it should at least be part of the discussion of who should get those last roster slots.

    • pinson343

      Miles hit a woeful .167 in 30 PH abs last year; Dickerson apparently was 4 of 19 at a PH last year. I’m not saying pinch hitting should solely determine who gets on the roster, but it should at least be part of the discussion of who should get those last roster slots.

      I agree strongly with the importance of having a good LHed bat off the bench. It can be critical late in a game when you’re tied or down but close. When Javy Valentin was with the Reds, I felt he was undervalued, having him as a PHer made the Reds more potent in those situations than they have been since. Javy could come up with the clutch hit or draw a walk or even go deep against another team’s (right handed) closer.

      It’s one reason I’d rather see Sutton on the roster than Miles. I wouldn’t argue for Nix over Balentien on the roster because of this, but it’s a reason why I think Nix has value for the Reds and want him ready to step up from AAA as organizational depth.

  11. Travis G.

    I’ve got no problem with Miles and Lincoln coming north — er, northeast — with the big league club. Might as well be absolutely certain their contracts are worthless before eating them. The key is not letting them hurt you too bad before cutting bait with them.

    I’m really loving the fact that they’ve got three legitimate guys battling for the fifth starter spot. Makes me wonder whether we could see Harang moved sooner rather than later — especially if someone’s got a ML-ready cleanup hitter to deal.

  12. toyboy

    Hey Travis… how about Harang for Dunn…. yuk yuk sorry could not keep that in.

  13. davidmp2

    I wouldn’t mind seeing Maloney in the bullpen over Lincoln. Pretty clear that Wood, Leake and Chapman are now ahead of Maloney.

  14. The Mad Hatter

    I don’t understand the rush to make Wood the 5th starter. Maloney or Lehr seem better suited for the role and Wood, Chapman and Leake can all get valuable experience pitching to professional hitters. In the case of Wood it would be better professional hitters at AAA. If you look at the numbers he typically struggles his first year at a new level and given his age I don’t see the rush in getting him to the bigs.

    Benchwise, that’s exactly how I see it shaping up. Balentien is outta options and having a good spring. Nix is signed to a minor league and not even on the 40 man. Miles is Walt’s boy and “experienced” at the utility role he’ll be asked to fill. All in all I don’t see the difference in Janish, Sutton or Miles or the difference that keeping two of the three will make in the long run.

    The long run the issue is who is going to be on base when Votto, Phillips and Rolen come up to bat. I just don’t see Stubbs and Cabrera clogging the bases on a consistent basis. I hope I’m wrong but it appears that this year’s team might be more of the same as last year’s team.

  15. pinson343

    @The Mad Hatter: First of all, if you’ve seen it, what did you think of Johnny Depp’s performance as you ?
    A little too over the top, perhaps. I liked the hat though.

    Back to baseball, you’re right, we still aren’t going to score a lot of runs if the bases are always unclogged as Votto comes up. Gammons has correctly pointed this out as one of the Reds keys for success this year, citing our .306 OBP from the leadoff spot last year.

    Might as well accept that Cabrera will be batting second. He’s the SS and Dusty is the manager, end of discussion.

    But Fay reports Dusty giving a surprisingly reasonable reply to a reporter who told him that Reds fans would like to see Dickerson leading off. He replied:
    “That’s possibility. . . It’s not like you have some set Big Red Machine lineup. We don’t have a maga-lineup. We’ve still got some guys trying to prove themselves. Stubbs is trying to prove himself. Dickerson is trying to prove himself. Jay Bruce is still trying to prove himself. We’ve got three or four guys trying to prove themselves. Gomes is coming off his first decent year in four or five years.”

    Notice though that (other than Gomes, who is still fairly young) no seasoned veterans, such as Hernandez, are among those who have to “prove themselves.”