John Fay’s Blog has a list of BA’s Top 30 Reds Prospects:
Anyway, hereÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s this yearÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s list (Aroldis Chapman would have been No. 1 if he had signed early enough to be considered):
1. INF/OF Todd Frazier: WeÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ll likely see him some time this year. The question: At what position?
2. 1B Yonder Alonso: If you were Alonso, wouldnÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t you bring an outfield glove to spring training?
3. RHP Mike Leake: Next to Chapman, his will be the most anticipated pitching debut of the spring.
4. OF Chris Heisey: Up from No. 22 on last yearÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s list.
5. 3B Juan Francisco: If he walked just a little more, heÃ¢â‚¬â„¢d be in the top 3.
6. OF Yorman Rodriguez: HeÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s got NFL speed and his arm rated the best among outfielders in the system. DoesnÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t turn 18 till August.
7. LHP Travis Wood: Did not make last yearÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s top 30. Went 9-3 with a 1.21 ERA at Double-A and 4-2 with a 3.14 at Triple-A.
8. LHP Matt Maloney: He was much better, thanks to a cut fastball, in his second stint with the Reds.
9. RHP Brad Boxberger: He threw up to 96 when in relief. The Reds plan to use him at starter for now.
10. SS Zack Cozart. HeÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ll be in camp. Very good glove. But his minor league average is .265.
11. SS Billy Hamilton: Last yearÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s second pick. Very athletic but very raw.
12. SS/2B Chris Valaika: The Reds are hoping that last year when he hit .235 at Triple-A was an aberration.
13. 3B Neftali Soto: He only hit .248 at Double-A after hitting .303, .388 and .326 in his first three minor league stop. HeÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s only 20.
14. RHP Logan Ondrusek: Had a great year last year moving up three levels. One of the harder throwers. Got an invite to big league camp.
15. SS Mariekson Gregorius: Curacao native. The Reds started him at high-A Sarasota last year as an injury fill-in. Hit .254 before going to Billings, where he hit .314.
16. RHP Jordan Smith: Went 5-3 with 3.44 ERA at Double-A while dealing with knee problems.
17. SS Miguel Rojas: Good fielder. But heÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s hit .232 in 951 minor league at-bats. Only 20 years old.
18. OF Juan Duran: If the Reds signed him to play basketball, it would be good news that he keeps growing. But at 6-7 or 6-8, your strike zone gets to be pretty big.
19. RHP Enerio Del Rosario: Side-armer who gets a lot of groundballs. Will be in big-league camp.
20. RHP Kyle Lotzkar: Missed all of last season with injuries. Has good stuff Ã¢â‚¬â€ he was a first-round supplemental pick in 2007. But heÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s only made 19 starts in his 2 1/2 years in the system.
21. LHP Donnie Joseph: Went 4-3 with a 3.06 ERA at Billings and Dayton after being picked in the third round last year.
22. LHP Pedro Viola: Reached the big leagues last year. Throws up to 96 with an easy motion. But heÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ll be 27 in June.
23. LHP Phillippe Valiquette: HeÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s been around since 2004. He has a good arm. Last year was his best at far as results (1-1, 2.29 ERA at Sarasota; 1-1, 2.76 ERA at Carolina).
24. RHP Mark Serrano: Last yearÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s sixth-round pick. Went a combined 3-1 with a 2.11 ERA in stops at Billings and Dayton.
25. RHP Juan Carlos Sulbaran: Pitched against the Reds for the Dutch National team in spring training. Was so-so at Dayton Ã¢â‚¬â€ 5-5, 5.24 ERA.
26. OF Josh Fellhauer: Seventh-round pick out of Cal-Fullerton last year. Hit .280/.351/.453 in 57 games at Dayton.
27. RHP Daniel Tuttle: Power arm. Went 1-2 with a 1.67 ERA for the GCL Reds after being picked in the fifth-round last year.
28. 2B/SS Cody Puckett: Good power. He had 19 homers and 35 doubles in 125 games for Dayton last year.
29. OF Byron Wiley: He was a 22nd-round pick in 2008. HeÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s hit .289/.403/.507 in his 1 1/2 years in the system.
30. C Devin Mesoraco: He was the first-round pick in 2007. HeÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s struggled at the plate (.240/.311/.368). Part of that his been wrist and thumb injuries. Was 10th on last yearÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s list.
I don’t understand these lists…seems like if you’re young, it forgives all sins and if you’re an older guy, you’re not a prospect.
For example…Kyle Lotzgar hasn’t really pitched in two years, yet because of his age (I’d imagine), he’s on the list. Our guy, Matt Klinker has been effective at every level and finished his 2nd full year in the minors at AAA and he’s not on the list? Valiquette is young, but has been around forever..and he’s on the list after one good season?
Mesoraco has, despite injuries, moved up every year, is 21, playing one of the most difficult positions on the field and he’s #30?
And John even points out that these lists are wrong… a lot.
Baseball AmericaÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s Prospect Handbook is out. It lists each teamsÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ top 30 prospects. ItÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s always a good read. Prospect lists Ã¢â‚¬â€ and there seems to be more and more of them Ã¢â‚¬â€ are interesting but not always the best indicator of big league success. Gookie Dawkins, Chris Gruler and Ryan Wagner all topped the Reds list at one time. Two years ago, Jay Bruce was No. 1 in all of baseball, Homer Bailey was No. 9, Jonny Cueto was No. 34 and Joey Votto checked in at No. 44. Since then, Votto has been runnerup in the NL Rookie of the Year vote and finished third in the NL in OPS.
I guess these lists (and the one that Steve posted earlier from BP) are more for us as fans to raise discussion than for anything else…