I realize that Adam Dunn is no longer on the Reds, but Rob Neyer’s ESPN blog today directs readers to another blog that discusses the value of Adam Dunn versus the newly acquired National, Nyjer Morgan.

I wish defensive statistics could be truly valued at this point. When I watch the sports highlights, I always prefer the defensive moments, and when I was a child I dreamed of making a great defensive play to end the game rather than hitting the game winning home run.

So, personally speaking, I do find it odd for myself to constantly argue in favor of the offensive player and offensive stats, but those figures are much easier to quantify and justify rather than the statistical and observational value of defense.

There’s too much variation of interpretation of defensive statistics, and I mean analysis derived from the same information, for me to take the info seriously. The analysis of the same player using the same derivative information can vary wildly, and I still have to wonder about the impact of BABIP….because it sure seems to me that a screaming line drive would be much harder to reach than a can of corn flyball…but, they seem to be valued the same. (I still remember Marty Brennaman on the radio warning the listeners about his fear for the infielders and their families as Tom Browning was nearing the end of his career and line drives were screaming off the bats from opposing hitters…)

Anyway, here’s a link to the article comparing Dunn to Morgan:

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/morgan-dunn

And, here’s a link to an article that questions the validity of UZR as a defensive metric, despite it being possibly the most accepted defensive analytical tool currently used:

http://www.insidethebook.com/ee/index.php/site/article/suzr_v_buzr/

Both articles come from what I’ve found to be respected baseball writers…

One Response

  1. Mark in CC

    I think this article is spot on. I like Adam Dunn, I have him on any fantasy team I can get him on and would do the same if I had an American League team (they would say Big Papi who?). But the running and defense part of his game counteracts the offense in the national league as does his dollar value.