Info found from baseball-reference.com for this year’s Reds:
Reds record on offense:
0 runs: 0-1 .000
1 run: 0-3 .000
2 runs: 2-4 .333
3 runs: 3-6 .333
4 runs: 3-0 1.000
5 runs: 1-2 .333
6 runs+: 11-3 .786
3 runs or less: 5-14 .263
4 runs or less: 8-14 .364
Reds on defense:
0 runs: 6-0 1.000
1 runs: 4-0 1.000
2 runs: 2-1 .667
3 runs: 3-2 .600
4 runs: 1-3 .250
5 runs: 2-1 .667
6 runs+: 2-12 .143
4 runs or less: 16-6, .727
Bill James’s website reports that for 2008 for all teams:
On offense scoring:
3 runs: 249-428 .368
4 runs: 308-332 .481
5 runs: 352-200 .638
Record is worse below for scoring fewer than three runs, and better for scoring more than five runs. Reverse record for defense.
So far this year, the Reds’ pitching has helped them beat the odds when scoring four runs, but we’re also behind when scoring four runs (extremely small sample size).
Meanwhile, Rob Neyer directs us to USA Today reports that offense is up, and especially from big innings. Entering Tuesday, runs per game by team is now 4.88, which is the highest since 2000 when it was 5.39. Average runs per game for 2008 was 4.51. Home runs are up to 1.04 per game; last year the majors averages 0.9 home run per game.
Through 40 games, this year’s Reds team is averaging 4.50 runs scored per game, almost a half run less than the major league average. We’re allowing 4.45 runs per game, also about one half run per game less than the major league average. In 2008, the Reds averaged scoring 4.35, which was just a little below major league average. We allowed 4.94 runs per game. So, our defense is allowing more than half a run less than in 2008.
As for home runs, in 2008 we hit 1.15 per game, allowing 1.24. For 2009, we’ve hit 1.05 home runs per game. We’re allowing 1.075 home runs per game.