John Fay seems to think Kyle Lohse will be back next season.
Right-hander Kyle Lohse made the Reds feel a lot better about their plans for him in 2007. Lohse went six innings Thursday, allowing one run on three hits.
Lohse was 0-3 with a 13.09 ERA in his previous three starts. But he was very good – 2-2 with a 2.89 ERA – in his seven starts before that.
Overall, he is 3-5 with a 4.57 ERA.
Lohse is 27 years old and throws 94 mph, so the Reds are likely to give him a shot to make the rotation.
“He’s our guy,” Narron said. “(But general manager Wayne Krivsky) can move anyone at anytime . . . Lohse has given us some very good games. He’s an experienced guy.”
4.57 is about league average, I’d guess. His WHIP with the Reds is 1.41 and he’s allowed .287/.336/.434 as a Red. On the plus side, his G/F ratio is very good for pitching in GABP (1.49).
According to ESPN, he’s making $3.95M this season and, as stated in the print article (but not on-line for some reason), is arbitration eligible. If you have to go to arbitration with him, he’s going to be making at least $5M next year.
For a pitcher that is, at best, league average, that’s too much.
Could he get better? Yes, but on a team with an actual budget, that’s too big a chunk to risk in the hope that he improves. I’d probably talk to him about a lower deal, but I don’t see any reason that he’d agree to it, but there is no way I offer him arbitration.