Okay, let’s give away another brand-new “1975 World Series Collector’s Edition” **seven**-DVD set:

Here’s the contest: the Reds are going to St. Louis next week, August 15-17. It’s a three-game series, and the Reds really need to win at least two of them.

We’re going to have a little prediction contest here. Give me your predictions as to that Reds/Cards series:

1. How many runs will the Reds score in the entire series?

2. How many runs will the Cardinals score in the series?

3. How many runs will the Reds bullpen allow during the series?

Tie-breaker 1: What will Albert Pujols’ batting average be during the three games?

Tie-breaker 2: How many walks will Adam Dunn draw in the series?

We should know the winner shortly after game three of the series. Here are the rules:

1) You must make a prediction on all three questions.

2) You have until midnight on August 14th to do so.

3) Entries must be made under this thread.

4) The individual whose total error is off the least wins.

5) One entry per person, but anyone is welcome to participate (excluding editors of Redleg Nation; well, they can enter, but can’t win)

6) Participants who fail to provide a valid email address are disqualified, as are those who make more than one entry.

7) Questions should be emailed to me.

8) The decision of the judge is final. Live with it.

Good luck!

Answers

1. Reds will score 14 runs

2. Cards will score 19 runs

3. Reds bullpen will allow 6 runs

Tiebreaker #1: Pujols batting average will be .333

Tiebreaker #2: Dunn will walk 4 times

1. Reds will score 11 runs

2. Cards will score 8 runs

3. Reds bullpen will allow 5 runs

Tiebreaker #1: Pujols batting average: .444

Tiebreaker #2: Dunn will walk 5 times

1. Reds will score 12 runs

2. Cards will score 9 runs

3. Reds bullpen will give up 3 runs

Tie #1 Pujols BA – .286

Tie #2 Dunn walks 4 times

1. Reds – 13 runs

2. Cards – 17 runs

3. Reds bullpen – 4 runs

Pujols – .333 BA

Dunn – 3 walks

Answers:

1. Reds will score 13

2. Cards will score 14

3. ‘Pen will allow 5

TB1. Poo holes will bat .363

TB2. Donkey will walk 3 times

Answers

1. Reds will score 15 runs

2. Cards will score 17 runs

3. Reds bullpen will allow 4 runs

Tiebreaker #1: Pujols batting average will be .357

Tiebreaker #2: Dunn will walk 3 times

1. The Reds will score 12 runs.

2. The Cardinals will score 15 runs.

3. The Cardinals will score 6 runs off the Reds’ bullpen.

4. Albert Pujols will hit .385 for the series.

5. Adam Dunn will walk twice.

1. Reds will score 16 runs

2. Cardinals will score 15 runs

3. Reds bull pen will allow 2 runs

Tie-breaker 1: .275 avg for Pujols

Tie-breaker 2: Dunn will be issued 4 bb

Reds score 11

Cards score 22

Bullpen allows 8

Pujols .400

Dunn walks twice

1. Reds will score 11 runs

2. Cardinals will score 15

3. Bullpen will allow 5 runs

Pujols will bat .320

Dunn will walk 4 times

1. 15

2. 20

3. 6

Tie-breaker 1: 340

Tie-breaker 2: 3

I left the decimal point out of the 1st Tie-breaker; for you technicians, it should read .340.

Reds score 14

Cards score 16

Bullpen allows 5

Pujols .182

Dunn 1 walk

Reds score 16

Cards score 12

Bullpen allows 4

Albert bats .272

Dunn will walk 3 times

1. Reds score: 20

2. Cardinals score: 12

3. Bullpen allows: 4

Tie-breaker1: Pujols bats .30769

Tie-breaker2: Dunn will walk 3 times

CIN scores 16

STL scores 20

Cin ‘pen allows 6

Pujols bats .340

Dunn walks 4 times

cin – 19

stl – 10

cin bp – 3

pujols – .225

Dunn – 5

Reds score 21

Cards score 18

Bullpen allows 12

Pujols hits .400

Dunn Walks 2 times

1. Reds – 16 runs

2. Cards – 16 runs

3. Reds bullpen – 5 runs

Pujols – .300 BA

Dunn – 2 walks

1. How many runs will the Reds score in the entire series? 18

2. How many runs will the Cardinals score in the series? 17

3. How many runs will the Reds bullpen allow during the series? 10

Tie-breaker 1: What will Albert PujolsÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ batting average be during the three games? .392

Tie-breaker 2: How many walks will Adam Dunn draw in the series? 3

quick question regarding bullpen runs… all runs allowed by the bullpen will be counted? i.e. credited to a reliever, but both earned and unearned count (but not inherited runners?)

1. Reds – 18 runs

2. Cards – 16 runs

3. Reds bullpen – 6 runs

Pujols – .364 BA

Dunn – 3 walks

1) Reds-16

2) Cards-13

3) bullpen-6

Pujols-.333

Dunner-4 walks

1. 14

2. 17

3. 6

T1: .250

T2: 3

1. Reds will score 18

2. Cardinals will score 14

3. Bullpen will allow 8

Pujos-.400

Dunner-3 walks

1. Reds will score 17

2. Cards will score 8

3. Bullpen gives up 3

T1. Pujols BA – .215

T2. Dunner walks – 2

1. Reds – 16

2. Cards – 17

3. Pen – 5

Pujols – .357

Dunn – 5 Walks

Reds – 22

Cards – 19

Bullpen – gives up 7

Pujols – .333

Dunn – 4 BB

1. Reds will score 19 runs.

2. Cards will score 19 runs.

3. Reds’ bullpen will allow five runs.

TB1: Pujols’ avg will be .286

TB2: Donkey will walk twice.

1. Reds-13 runs

2. Cards-10 runs

3. bullpen-3 runs

Pujols-.333

Dunn-6 walks

Reds 16

Cards 18

Pen 4

Pujols .363

Dunn walks: 3

1. 17

2. 17

3. 10

TB 1. .417

TB 2. 3

1. 13

2. 13

3. 6

T1. .308

T2. 3

1. 14

2. 16

3. 6

t1. .335

t2. 4

1. Reds : 17

2. Cardinals : 16

3. bullpen : 6

Pujols : .320

Dunn : 3

Reds score 15

Cards score 18

Bullpen allows 7

Pujols hits .364

Dunn walks twice

Reds score 17

Cards score 19

Reds bullpen allows 7 runs

Tie Breaker #1 Albert Pujols bats .350

Tie Breaker #2 Adam Dunn walks 4 times

Reds score 20.

Cardinals score 15.

Bullpen allows 4.

Pujhols bats .333

Dunn walks 4

Being the ANALytical type I have accumulated the estimates in excel, this way I can carefully track, with each run that scores, the progress toward my victory. Bwah, hah, hah, hah.

So, for laughs and in case you are curious, I get …

44 entries with the following minimim, average, and maximum predictions.

Reds: 11, 16.14, 24

Cards: 8, 15.50, 22

Bullpen: 1, 5.39, 12

Pujols: .182, .329, .444

BB Dunn: 1, 3.43, 6

Seems like a good response, looks like the Pujols tie breaker will be needed unless all the games are either quite well pitched or slugfests.

Good luck all.

Dang, just occured to me that my guess precludes a sweep. Kudos to anyone that has the Reds scoring

at leastthree runs more than the Cards.Reds score 13.

Cardinals score 9.

Bullpen allows 4.

Pujols bats .300

Dunn walks 2

It is looking like the few people who predicted a relatively low number of runs are in the drivers seat. The third game would hae to 9-8 Reds just to get to the average. Check out posts number 2, 3, 36 for the close ones.

I am not official scorekeeper, but post number three looks like the winner. Congratulations Jon.

What happened to the offense … Jeff Weaver, yikes.

Reds scored: 8

Cardinals scored: 9

Bullpen allowed: 2 runs (I think)

…good job to someone (wasn’t me

:cry:)

Yep, it was Jon Lawrence. Good predicting!