Okay, in my original post, I said that I was going to let the two trades sink in before I commented on them. Then I proceeded to give some not-so-subtle hints about what I really thought.
I’ve had some time to think about the deals, and I’ve come to some conclusions. I was completely and absolutely wrong on Monday.
Well, maybe it’s not so clear cut as that. But my initial reaction was to be happy with the Cormier trade, and disgusted with the Lohse deal. I’ve changed my mind on both.
Obtaining Rheal Cormier was not a good idea at all, in my opinion. The guy’s about fifty years old, and his recent history inspires very little confidence that his 2006 numbers aren’t a bit of a fluke. Plus, they signed this old guy to a contract extension, which is money wasted. Well, I don’t believe that, exactly, but it’s certainly a very poor risk. That money could have been better spent elsewhere.
All in all, I’d rather have young, cheap Justin Germano. He won’t be a star, but he’s alright.
With respect to Kyle Lohse, a look at his career numbers caused me to re-think my initial opposition to the trade. This is the kind of guy that the Reds should be taking risks on.
Lohse is 27 years old, and as recently as last year, he was a better-than-league-average pitcher. I think there’s reason to believe that Lohse got himself out of whack because of relationships in Minnesota (he’s young, and more than a little immature, certainly), and that the always-mentioned “change of scenery” could really benefit the guy.
If Lohse can get his mojo back, we’re looking at a hard-throwing pitcher who will be entering his prime, all while wearing a wishbone-c on his cap. If not, we’ve lost a good prospect, no question about it…but I think it was a good risk to take, nonetheless.
In the end, I couldn’t reconcile my opposition to the Lohse acquisition with my opposition to Wayne Krivsky’s shameless handling of Dave Williams, whom he DFA’d without thinking twice. In that case, Krivsky overreacted. There was no reason to send Williams packing (while he still had minor league options and could be sent to AAA). He had established himself as a league-average pitcher before this season, and he has yet to reach his peak age.
Those types of pitchers donÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t just fall off the face of the earth without some explanation (usually injury).
Lohse, for what it’s worth, shows signs of a much higher upside than Williams, as he’s been an above-average pitcher in the past. Now, that’s not to say that I’m not concerned that Lohse will be a head case here, too, but I believe he’s worth the risk.
So, in the end, Krivsky got one right and one wrong; my first reaction just switched the two. From my perch, fifty percent is fairly consistent with Krivsky’s batting average for the season. Some good deals, some bad ones. One great one, one disastrous one.
I don’t speak for Redleg Nation here. I’m in disagreement with most of the other Redleg Nation editors on this one, and that’s fine. The blog is more fun when we don’t all agree.
I encourage the other editors to put up a post of their own with their thoughts, or just agree/disagree with me in the comments below. I fully expect that the rest of you will let me know what you think, as well.