In today’s Dayton Daily News Hal McCoy supports Scott Miller’s opinion that the Sean Casey deal was nothing but an embarrassment for the Reds since they were not able to get anything more in return for Sean Casey than Dave Williams.
“Casey was a Reds’ franchise treasure, a fan favorite; the kind of guy an organization should make every effort to keep long term. Cincinnati has four outfielders — Ken Griffey Jr., Austin Kearns, Adam Dunn and Wily Mo Pena — and one of them couldn’t have been moved instead?” – Scott Miller
So has Miller not been around enough to know that baseball is a business? The Reds need pitching bad. They also need to clear salary, dealing from it’s offensive strength, to clear the payroll dollars needed ($8 – 10M) to acquire this needed pitching. So now consider the following:
Player OPS+ Est. 2006 Salary
Ken Griffey 138 12.5M
Adam Dunn 135 8M
Sean Casey 104 8.5M
Wily Mo Pena 100 1M
Austin Kearns 99 1.5M
So sentimentality aside, considering bang for the buck, which player needed to be dealt to free up the needed dollars for pitching, while having the least affect at weakening our offense.
“The fourth pitcher in the rotation of the only team that finished below Cincinnati in the NL Central last summer. The best pitcher available to the Reds. Lord, have mercy. ” – Scott Miller
Please… Yes, the Pirates finished below the Reds in the standings. Did Miller not notice though that the Pirates also finished ahead of the Reds in ERA by 0.71? Exactly 5 of the Pirates 6 starters that started at least 14 games had an ERA better than our third best starter last year, Ramon Ortiz 5.36. It’s also pertinent to note that Williams, their #4 starter, had the 2nd best ERA, 4.41, among those six starting pitchers, nearly a full half run better than their 3rd best starter. So to imply that the Reds could not improve or obtain a decent SP from the Pirates, just because they finished below the Reds in the standing is ludicrous.
“How do you explain that you’ve traded a star first baseman, a career .300 hitter, one of the most genuine human beings ever put on this earth, to a team in your own division for a young, unproven pitcher?” – Hal McCoy
He was a nice guy. But unfortunately Hal, this is a business. The Reds just traded an average 1B for an average SP with 58 starts under his belt, and freed up 6M dollars to enable the Reds to pursue another SP for their decimated starting pitching staff.
“Yes, the Reds need pitching. Good pitching. Using Miller’s words, no disrespect to Dave Williams, but the 26-year-old left-hander owns a career 17-26 record with a 4.24 earned run average. Yes, he won 10 games last season, but he also lost 11.” – Hal McCoy
I’m not sure why Hal doesn’t think a 27 year old lefty, whose already proven to be an average ML SP over a full season is not a good pitcher. Maybe he is unable to look past the 17-26 won lost record and wrap his mind around the fact that 4.24 career ERA in 58 starts is actually a tick above league average for that time period. I’m sure it would be a huge analytical reach for him to understand that the Pirates were not exactly an offensive force during that time also, ranking 13-15 in runs scored in the NL in each of those seasons. For him to take that fact and to relate it to a poor won lost record for a ML average SP over that time period, is surely a conclusion that would have been most difficult for him to grasp.
“Let’s call this what it is, a salary dump. And the Reds not only sent Casey to Pittsburgh, they sent $1 million with him. Casey will make $8.5 million and Williams will make $1.4 million. Add the $1 million the Reds sent to Pittsburgh and the Reds gained $6.1 million. For those who believe the Reds can use that $6.1 million to get additional pitching, well, it might, but not good pitching, not for $6.1 million.” – Hal McCoy
Hmmm.. Maybe Hal, just maybe there are more moves to come, which will free up additional salary and enable the Reds to get a front of the rotation starter. So basically, it’s a salary dump, but we aren’t reducing the payroll any, and the money will be re-invested in more pitching.
“Trading Casey didn’t get the Reds the pitching they needed. Not even close. It wasn’t even a good start. So far, all they’ve done is strengthen the Pittsburgh Pirates.” – Hal McCoy
Wow, that says it all. How can you argue with baseball analysis like that? Forget about that $6M and any other moves the Reds are able to make down the road because of it. The Reds got Dave Williams for Sean Casey, super nice guy, and nothing else. So it’s a terrible trade.
I’m sure that Hal will greatly miss Sean Casey, just like thousands of other Reds fans, me included. But I fear his and Miller’s perception of Casey’s worth in a trade is greatly affected by their perception of Casey as a person. It’s a shame Hal and Scott couldn’t have just wrote really neat and sappy Sean Casey is a great person and we’ll miss him pieces, instead of writing these articles which demonstrates their complete inability for baseball analysis.