I am sure some of you are familiar with the Pythagorean Theorem of Baseball, put together by Bill James in the ’80s. Here is a look at the NL Central to date. If you are unfamiliar, the formula for EX W-L is (RS/RA)/2. What is amazing to me is it almost always is within a win or two when you get to the end of the season.
As can see despite the claims that this is an inconsistent offense, the Reds expected Win /Loss Record is only two games better than their actual win total. If the claim about “Wasted Runs” were true, their Expected W-L would certainly be a lot higher. So despite what everyone’s “Common Sense” is telling them, The Reds are scoring just enough runs to win 28 games and lose 43.
PITCHING PITCHING PITCHING is the problem.